A story of ice-cream, Drowning and causal modelling.

If you have taken any statistic class, the very first thing your where thought would most likely be:

Correlation does not imply causation

The next thing you then will learn is that:

Corelation does not imply causation. But sometimes it does.

If it wasn’t for the last bit statistics courses would be very short, since finding correlations is useless if it doesn’t explain causation.

However, the first bit is always the most important since bad statistics is often worse than no statistics, and the world is full of bad statistics.

The problem is that bad statistics can have a lot…